← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Nov 8, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: E. Rosier
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia win | 41% | 2.33 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Laval win | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Laval +0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Bastia +0.25 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.54 |
| Over | 37% | 2.57 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Kévin Zohi · Laval |
| 14' | ⚽ (og) | Williams Kokolo · Bastia |
| 30' | ⚽ | Mamadou Camara · Laval |
| 31' | 🟨 | Gustave Akueson · Bastia |
| 46' | 🟨 | Malik Tchokounte · Laval |
| 53' | 🟨 | Williams Kokolo · Laval |
| 65' | ⚽ | Malik Tchokounte · Laval |
| 89' | 🟨 | Titouan Thomas · Laval |
| 90' | 🟨 | William Bianda · Laval |
| 90' | ⚽ | Felix Tomi · Bastia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 15 |
| 5 | On target | 7 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 19 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Laval | Bastia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.46 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Francis Le Basser |
| coach days | 1957.00 | 160.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 3.30 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.23 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.68 |
| elo | 1436.07 | 1461.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.31 | -16.48 |
| eye test v1 | -1.00 | 0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.58 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.20 | 57.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.72 |
| league points | 16.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.20 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.00 | 57.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.25 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | 8.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 16.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.18 | 0.58 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.80 |
| state index | -0.64 | -0.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.50 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |