← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Nov 8, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Chapapria
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grenoble win | 35% | 2.76 |
| Dunkerque win | 35% | 2.77 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque +0 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Grenoble +0 | 50% | 1.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.72 |
| Over | 44% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 54' | 🟨 | Maxence Rivera · Dunkerque |
| 65' | 🟨 | Ugo Raghouber · Dunkerque |
| 67' | ⚽ | Enzo Bardeli · Dunkerque |
| 74' | 🟨 | Junior Olaitan · Grenoble |
| 90' | 🟨 | Abner · Dunkerque |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 9 |
| 0 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Grenoble | Dunkerque |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.51 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade des Alpes |
| coach days | 130.00 | 434.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.68 | 2.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.30 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1441.75 | 1438.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.04 | 17.20 |
| eye test v1 | -0.06 | 0.85 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.10 | 61.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | — |
| league points | 17.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 83.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 56.80 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 1.92 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.80 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.02 | 0.99 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| state index | -0.47 | -0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.14 | 0.89 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |