← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Nov 8, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: P. Gaillouste
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Clermont win | 36% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.90 |
| Ajaccio win | 31% | 3.08 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Clermont +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Ajaccio +0 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 67% | 1.45 |
| Over | 33% | 2.88 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 37' | 🟨 | Jérémy Jacquet · Clermont |
| 38' | 🟨 | Francois-Joseph Sollacaro · Ajaccio |
| 47' | 🟨 | Damien Da Silva · Clermont |
| 48' | ⚽ | Julien Anziani · Ajaccio |
| 64' | ⚽ | Tony Strata · Ajaccio |
| 72' | 🟨 | Ben Touré · Ajaccio |
| 90' | 🟨 | Everson Junior · Ajaccio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 13 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ajaccio | Clermont |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stade Michel-Moretti |
| coach days | 130.00 | 7.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.35 | 2.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1387.65 | 1507.44 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -35.35 | 23.50 |
| eye test v1 | -0.62 | -0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.43 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.80 | 58.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.37 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.72 |
| league points | 14.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 3.97 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | -6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| state index | -0.95 | 0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.51 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |