← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Sat, Nov 2, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Kubler
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 56% | 1.71 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.80 |
| Grenoble win | 19% | 5.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp −0.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Grenoble −0.75 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | Brighton Labeau · Guingamp |
| 3' | 🟨 | Nolan Mbemba · Grenoble |
| 57' | ⚽ | Jacques Siwe · Guingamp |
| 60' | 🟨 | Gaëtan Paquiez · Grenoble |
| 67' | ⚽ | Amadou Sagna · Guingamp |
| 73' | 🟨 | Kalidou Sidibe · Guingamp |
| 74' | 🟨 | Saikou Touray · Grenoble |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 16 |
| 8 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 7 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Guingamp | Grenoble |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade du Roudourou |
| coach days | 185.00 | 124.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.56 | 2.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1466.49 | 1455.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.09 | 20.78 |
| eye test v1 | 0.68 | -0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.51 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.40 | 60.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.78 |
| league points | 19.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.80 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.00 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 3.98 | 3.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 1.58 | 1.55 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.98 | -0.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.40 |
| state index | -0.21 | -0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.51 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |