← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Nov 1, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Lesage
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Lorient win | 44% | 2.19 |
| Clermont win | 29% | 3.38 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Lorient +0.25 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Clermont +0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.90 |
| Over | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Laurent Abergel · FC Lorient |
| 20' | 🟨 | Johan Gastien · Clermont |
| 24' | 🟨 | Isaac James · FC Lorient |
| 44' | 🟨 | Panos Katseris · FC Lorient |
| 45' | ⚽ | Damien Da Silva · Clermont |
| 76' | ⚽ | Maïdine Douane · Clermont |
| 80' | 🟨 | Baïla Diallo · Clermont |
| 81' | ⚽ (pen) | Aiyegun Tosin · FC Lorient |
| 90' | 🟨 | Yoël Armougom · Clermont |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 8 |
| 10 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Clermont | FC Lorient |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stade Gabriel-Montpied |
| coach days | 0.00 | 153.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 2.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.93 | 3.80 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1496.75 | 1580.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.04 | 33.54 |
| eye test v1 | -0.40 | 1.19 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | -0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.40 | 55.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 1.45 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.74 |
| league points | 15.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 83.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 57.80 |
| rest days | 2.98 | 2.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 2.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.20 | 8.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 16.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.19 | 1.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.80 |
| squad age | — | 25.53 |
| state index | -0.32 | 0.65 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.66 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |