← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Tue, Oct 29, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Chapapria
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Metz win | 47% | 2.04 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.48 |
| Red Star win | 26% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Red Star +0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Metz +0.5 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Josue Escartin · Red Star |
| 23' | 🟨 | Ablie Jallow · Metz |
| 47' | ⚽ (og) | Alexandre Oukidja · Red Star |
| 73' | 🟨 | Fodé Doucouré · Red Star |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 16 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 0 | Corners | 13 |
| 17 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Red Star | Metz |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade de Paris |
| coach days | 120.00 | 120.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.37 | 2.59 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1318.47 | 1583.40 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.60 | -19.05 |
| eye test v1 | -0.45 | 0.98 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | 0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.90 | 65.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.73 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.75 |
| league points | 8.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 88.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 64.40 |
| rest days | 4.06 | 4.06 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.44 |
| season ppg | 0.80 | 1.64 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.35 | 1.89 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.20 |
| squad age | — | 27.15 |
| state index | -1.08 | 0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.53 | 1.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |