← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Tue, Oct 29, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: E. Rosier
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 51% | 1.86 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.61 |
| Martigues win | 22% | 4.41 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen +0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Martigues +0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.79 |
| Over | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 50' | 🟨 | Diabe Bolumbu · Caen |
| 68' | 🟨 | Simon Falette · Martigues |
| 69' | ⚽ (pen) | Alexandre Mendy · Caen |
| 84' | 🟨 | Kalifa Coulibaly · Caen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Simon Falette · Martigues |
| 90' | 🟥 | Simon Falette · Martigues |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alexandre Mendy · Caen |
| 90' | ⚽ | Alexandre Mendy · Caen |
| 90' | ⚽ | Noe Lebreton · Caen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 15 |
| 1 | On target | 7 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Martigues | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Jean Laville |
| coach days | 120.00 | 363.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 2.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1436.46 | 1421.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.13 | -48.97 |
| eye test v1 | -0.60 | -0.73 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.90 | 57.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.68 |
| league points | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 84.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.20 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 4.06 | 3.31 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.44 |
| season ppg | 0.80 | 0.73 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.87 | 0.85 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| state index | -0.75 | -1.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.46 | 0.83 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |