← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Tue, Oct 29, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Buquet
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia win | 43% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
| Rodez win | 28% | 3.53 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia −0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Rodez −0.25 | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Lamine Cissé · Bastia |
| 29' | ⚽ | Waniss Taibi · Rodez |
| 37' | ⚽ | Timothee Nkada · Rodez |
| 51' | ⚽ | Clement Rodrigues · Bastia |
| 68' | 🟨 | Jocelyn Janneh · Bastia |
| 73' | 🟨 | Loni Laurent · Rodez |
| 89' | 🟨 | Stone Muzalimoja Mambo · Rodez |
| 90' | 🟨 | Christophe Vincent · Bastia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 17 | Shots | 14 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 14 | Fouls | 20 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bastia | Rodez |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade Armand-Césari |
| coach days | 150.00 | 698.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.82 | 1.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1476.86 | 1479.44 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.71 | -2.63 |
| eye test v1 | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.10 | 66.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.66 |
| league points | 15.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 42.00 |
| rest days | 7.08 | 4.06 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.03 | -0.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| state index | -0.12 | -0.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.25 | -0.93 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |