← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Sat, Oct 26, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Millot
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC win | 61% | 1.57 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.00 |
| Grenoble win | 16% | 6.55 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grenoble −1 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Paris FC −1 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.92 |
| Under | 49% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Timothée Kolodziejczak · Paris FC |
| 26' | 🟨 | Pape Meissa Ba · Grenoble |
| 37' | ⚽ | Maxime López · Paris FC |
| 45' | ⚽ | Ilan Kebbal · Paris FC |
| 53' | 🟨 | Jules Gaudin · Paris FC |
| 58' | 🟨 | Gaëtan Paquiez · Grenoble |
| 82' | ⚽ | Pape Meissa Ba · Grenoble |
| 83' | 🟨 | Saikou Touray · Grenoble |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 8 |
| 9 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 17 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Paris FC | Grenoble |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.46 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade Charléty |
| coach days | 513.00 | 117.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.73 | 2.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1583.33 | 1461.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 50.43 | 37.07 |
| eye test v1 | 0.95 | -0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | 0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.40 | 59.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | — | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.81 |
| league points | 24.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 13.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.80 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.60 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 4.72 | 7.75 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.47 |
| season ppg | 2.40 | 1.78 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.55 | 0.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.83 | — |
| state index | 1.10 | 0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.26 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |