← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Oct 25, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Bouille
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Lorient win | 49% | 1.94 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
| Rodez win | 24% | 4.06 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rodez +0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
| FC Lorient +0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | ⚽ | Eli Junior Kroupi · FC Lorient |
| 34' | 🟨 | Julien Ponceau · FC Lorient |
| 51' | 🟨 | Montassar Talbi · FC Lorient |
| 56' | ⚽ | Formose Mendy · FC Lorient |
| 78' | ⚽ | Mohamed Bouchouari · Rodez |
| 85' | ⚽ | Sambou Soumano · FC Lorient |
| 89' | ⚽ | Waniss Taibi · Rodez |
| 90' | ⚽ | Lionel Mpasi Nzau · Rodez |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rodez | FC Lorient |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade Paul Lignon |
| coach days | 694.00 | 146.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.83 | 3.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1478.40 | 1574.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 34.42 | 18.16 |
| eye test v1 | 0.38 | 1.02 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | -0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.70 | 53.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | — | 1.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.75 |
| league points | 12.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 84.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.20 | 57.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.43 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 2.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 7.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.64 | 1.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 6.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 8.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.40 |
| squad age | — | 24.90 |
| state index | 0.20 | 0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.00 | 0.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |