← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Sat, Oct 19, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Taleb
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Amiens win | 51% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.11 |
| Ajaccio win | 20% | 5.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Amiens −0.5 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Ajaccio −0.5 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.50 |
| Over | 36% | 2.69 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ (pen) | Louis Mafouta · Amiens |
| 33' | 🟨 | Ben Touré · Ajaccio |
| 38' | ⚽ | Kylian Kaiboue · Amiens |
| 42' | ⚽ | Moussa Soumano · Ajaccio |
| 65' | 🟨 | Everson Junior · Ajaccio |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mactar Tine · Amiens |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Louis Mafouta · Amiens |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 14 |
| 9 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Amiens | Ajaccio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.47 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.59 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 4.00 |
| venue | Stade Crédit Agricole de la Licorne |
| coach days | 476.00 | 110.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.30 | 2.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.26 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1458.15 | 1412.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.00 | -1.73 |
| eye test v1 | 0.47 | -1.28 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.00 | 49.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.69 |
| league points | 12.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 71.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 44.60 |
| rest days | 13.75 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.56 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 6.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.16 | -0.91 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.20 |
| state index | -0.19 | -0.72 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.21 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.14 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.20 |