← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Sat, Oct 5, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: H. Ben El Hadj
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Metz win | 55% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
| Amiens win | 18% | 5.39 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Amiens −0.75 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Metz −0.75 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Gauthier Hein · Metz |
| 21' | ⚽ | Cheick Tidiane Sabaly · Metz |
| 29' | 🟨 | Koffi Kouao · Metz |
| 43' | ⚽ | Gauthier Hein · Metz |
| 45' | ⚽ | Antoine Leautey · Amiens |
| 49' | 🟨 | Gauthier Hein · Metz |
| 56' | 🟨 | Sébastien Corchia · Amiens |
| 76' | ⚽ | Kylian Kaiboue · Amiens |
| 85' | 🟨 | Rayan Lutin · Amiens |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ibou Sane · Metz |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 6 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 1 |
| 18 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Metz | Amiens |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.52 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.44 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade Saint-Symphorien |
| coach days | 96.00 | 462.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 8.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.55 | 2.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1545.34 | 1464.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.10 | 6.48 |
| eye test v1 | 0.18 | 0.74 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 68.00 | 65.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.79 |
| league points | 12.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.20 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.00 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.39 | -0.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 25.91 | — |
| state index | 0.06 | -0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.08 | -0.35 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |