← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Sat, Oct 5, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Batta
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Lorient win | 44% | 2.20 |
| Caen win | 30% | 3.32 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Lorient +0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Caen +0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.85 |
| Under | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ | Tidiam Gomis · Caen |
| 35' | ⚽ | Eli Junior Kroupi · FC Lorient |
| 38' | 🟨 | Didí Gaucho · Caen |
| 49' | 🟨 | Quentin Lecoeuche · Caen |
| 87' | ⚽ | Mohamed Bamba · FC Lorient |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 4 | Shots | 14 |
| 1 | On target | 5 |
| 0 | Corners | 4 |
| 19 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Caen | FC Lorient |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Michel d'Ornano |
| coach days | 339.00 | 126.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 8.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.21 | 3.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1458.22 | 1556.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.53 | -8.11 |
| eye test v1 | -0.18 | 1.18 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | -0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.40 | 54.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.58 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | — |
| league points | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.00 | 84.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.00 | 58.00 |
| rest days | 4.72 | 7.75 |
| scorer concentration | 0.67 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.86 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.35 | 1.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 6.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.80 |
| squad age | — | 24.57 |
| state index | -0.26 | 0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.13 | 0.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |