← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Sat, Oct 5, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Leleu
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio win | 49% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.18 |
| Martigues win | 21% | 4.82 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Martigues −0.5 | 51% | 1.95 |
| Ajaccio −0.5 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 66% | 1.45 |
| Over | 34% | 2.85 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | ⚽ | Christopher Ibayi · Ajaccio |
| 24' | 🟨 | Oucasse Mendy · Martigues |
| 36' | 🟨 | Steve Solvet · Martigues |
| 39' | 🟥 | Benjamin Santelli · Ajaccio |
| 45' | 🟨 | Thomas Mangani · Ajaccio |
| 45' | ⚽ | Oucasse Mendy · Martigues |
| 55' | 🟨 | Mohamed Youssouf · Ajaccio |
| 67' | 🟨 | Mohamed Bamba · Martigues |
| 73' | 🟥 | Arsène Kouassi · Ajaccio |
| 88' | 🟨 | Vignon Ouotro · Martigues |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 1 | Corners | 0 |
| 10 | Fouls | 19 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 2 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ajaccio | Martigues |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade Michel-Moretti |
| coach days | 96.00 | 96.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.54 | — |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1414.00 | 1438.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.51 | -68.16 |
| eye test v1 | -1.09 | -0.47 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | 0.45 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.90 | 53.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -2.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | — |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | — |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.75 |
| league points | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 38.40 |
| rest days | 7.75 | 7.75 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.63 | 0.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.58 | -1.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 7.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.50 | 3.29 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| state index | -0.23 | -1.59 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.29 | -0.96 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | — |