← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Oct 4, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Valnet
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rodez win | 39% | 2.50 |
| Grenoble win | 33% | 3.04 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grenoble −0.25 | 54% | 1.78 |
| Rodez −0.25 | 46% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.92 |
| Under | 49% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Dany Jean · Rodez |
| 23' | 🟨 | Eric Vandenabeele · Rodez |
| 41' | 🟨 | Stone Muzalimoja Mambo · Rodez |
| 44' | ⚽ | Pape Meissa Ba · Grenoble |
| 54' | ⚽ | Mohamed Bouchouari · Rodez |
| 61' | 🟨 | Pape Meissa Ba · Grenoble |
| 61' | 🟨 | Mamadou Diarra · Grenoble |
| 64' | 🟨 | Arial Mendy · Grenoble |
| 81' | ⚽ | Noah Cadiou · Rodez |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 4 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 0 |
| 16 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rodez | Grenoble |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Paul Lignon |
| coach days | 673.00 | 95.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 1.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1453.51 | 1452.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.35 | 42.79 |
| eye test v1 | 0.23 | -0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.80 | 59.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | — | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.78 |
| league points | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.80 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.42 |
| season ppg | 0.75 | 1.86 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.65 | 0.39 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| state index | -0.44 | 0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.23 | 0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |