← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Sat, Sep 28, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Lesage
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC win | 47% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Red Star win | 25% | 3.84 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Red Star +0.5 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Paris FC +0.5 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.84 |
| Over | 47% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Ryad Hachem · Red Star |
| 20' | ⚽ | Adama Camara · Paris FC |
| 26' | 🟨 | Timothée Kolodziejczak · Paris FC |
| 32' | ⚽ | Fodé Doucouré · Red Star |
| 45' | 🟨 | Quentin Beunardeau · Red Star |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Jean-Philippe Krasso · Paris FC |
| 53' | 🟨 | Adama Camara · Paris FC |
| 57' | ⚽ | Jean-Philippe Krasso · Paris FC |
| 76' | 🟨 | Bissenty Mendy · Red Star |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 12 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 7 |
| 16 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Red Star | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.54 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.51 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| coach days | 89.00 | 485.00 |
| venue | Stade de Paris |
| congestion 21d |
| 3.00 |
| 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.60 | 1.93 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1331.30 | 1543.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.50 | 4.72 |
| eye test v1 | -0.33 | 0.46 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.26 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.50 | 62.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.85 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.74 |
| league points | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 86.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 61.60 |
| rest days | 3.73 | 3.73 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.60 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.33 | 1.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| squad age | — | 27.25 |
| state index | -0.81 | 0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.50 | 1.71 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |