← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Sep 27, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: P. Gaillouste
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grenoble win | 40% | 2.38 |
| Clermont win | 31% | 3.23 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Clermont −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Grenoble −0.25 | 47% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.79 |
| Over | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 40' | 🟨 | Mamady Bangré · Grenoble |
| 45' | 🟨 | Yohann Magnin · Clermont |
| 45' | ⚽ | Dante Rigo · Grenoble |
| 58' | 🟥 | Massamba Ndiaye · Clermont |
| 62' | ⚽ | Jessy Benet · Grenoble |
| 84' | ⚽ | Pape Meissa Ba · Grenoble |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 9 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Grenoble | Clermont |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stade des Alpes |
| coach days | 88.00 | 88.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.75 | 1.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1434.95 | 1501.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.74 | -34.09 |
| eye test v1 | -0.28 | -0.85 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.00 | 56.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.76 |
| league points | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 83.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 2.98 | 2.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.44 | — |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.47 | 0.76 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| state index | 0.02 | -0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.56 | 1.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |