← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Tue, Sep 24, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: G. Paradis
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC win | 42% | 2.33 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
| Guingamp win | 29% | 3.42 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp −0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Paris FC −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Julien López · Paris FC |
| 50' | 🟨 | Lenny Vallier · Guingamp |
| 75' | ⚽ (pen) | Ilan Kebbal · Paris FC |
| 84' | 🟨 | Amine Hemia · Guingamp |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mathys Tourraine · Paris FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 9 |
| 8 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 21 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Paris FC | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| venue | Stade Charléty |
| coach days | 481.00 | 146.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.25 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.28 | 2.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1532.91 | 1492.36 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.46 | 17.47 |
| eye test v1 | 0.18 | 0.68 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.90 | 63.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | — | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.63 |
| league points | 9.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 87.80 | 85.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 63.60 | 56.00 |
| rest days | 4.02 | 4.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.80 | 2.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.84 | 1.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 27.11 | — |
| state index | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.81 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |