← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Tue, Sep 24, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: O. Thual
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Metz win | 70% | 1.36 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.75 |
| Martigues win | 10% | 11.11 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Metz −1.25 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Martigues −1.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.89 |
| Under | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | 🟨 | Bevic Moussiti Oko · Martigues |
| 35' | ⚽ | Cheick Tidiane Sabaly · Metz |
| 37' | ⚽ | Matthieu Udol · Metz |
| 45' | ⚽ | Cheick Tidiane Sabaly · Metz |
| 48' | ⚽ | Cheick Tidiane Sabaly · Metz |
| 57' | 🟨 | Oucasse Mendy · Martigues |
| 70' | ⚽ | Matthieu Udol · Metz |
| 81' | ⚽ | Ibou Sane · Metz |
| 84' | 🟨 | Matthieu Udol · Metz |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 12 |
| 9 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 18 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Metz | Martigues |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade Saint-Symphorien |
| coach days | 85.00 | 85.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -5.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 8.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.53 | — |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.34 |
| elo | 1559.47 | 1452.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.61 | -47.41 |
| eye test v1 | -0.02 | -0.72 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 67.50 | 54.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | — |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | — |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.66 |
| league points | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.20 | 72.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.60 | 41.40 |
| rest days | 3.25 | 4.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.57 | — |
| season ppg | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -8.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.15 | -1.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 24.48 | — |
| state index | 0.19 | -1.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.86 | -0.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | — |