← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Tue, Sep 24, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Bouille
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 48% | 1.99 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
| Amiens win | 25% | 4.06 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Amiens −0.5 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Caen −0.5 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.74 |
| Over | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Alexandre Mendy · Caen |
| 26' | ⚽ | Louis Mafouta · Amiens |
| 30' | 🟨 | Owen Gene · Amiens |
| 45' | 🟨 | Diabe Bolumbu · Caen |
| 70' | 🟨 | Noe Lebreton · Caen |
| 73' | 🟨 | Frank Boya · Amiens |
| 81' | ⚽ | Alexandre Mendy · Caen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Bilal Brahimi · Caen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 10 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Caen | Amiens |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade Michel d'Ornano |
| coach days | 328.00 | 451.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.07 | 2.46 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1461.82 | 1464.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -35.85 | 6.86 |
| eye test v1 | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | -0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.00 | 64.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.81 |
| league points | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.80 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.80 | 44.00 |
| rest days | 4.02 | 4.02 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.25 | -0.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| state index | -0.29 | -0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.72 | -0.53 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |