← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Tue, Sep 24, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: G. Angoula
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio win | 34% | 2.79 |
| Grenoble win | 33% | 2.95 |
| Draw | 32% | 2.94 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio +0 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Grenoble +0 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.47 |
| Over | 35% | 2.81 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Lenny Joseph · Grenoble |
| 48' | 🟨 | Christopher Ibayi · Ajaccio |
| 49' | 🟨 | Benjamin Santelli · Ajaccio |
| 58' | ⚽ | Moussa Soumano · Ajaccio |
| 71' | ⚽ | Tim Jabol-Folcarelli · Ajaccio |
| 74' | 🟨 | Tim Jabol-Folcarelli · Ajaccio |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ivane Chegra · Ajaccio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 19 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ajaccio | Grenoble |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade Michel-Moretti |
| coach days | 85.00 | 85.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.59 | 1.93 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1408.86 | 1449.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.58 | 40.36 |
| eye test v1 | -0.54 | 0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.10 | 63.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.81 |
| league points | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 82.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.40 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 4.02 | 4.02 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.44 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.48 | 0.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.00 |
| state index | -0.26 | 0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.91 | 0.65 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |