← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Sep 20, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: P. Gaillouste
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 53% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.73 |
| Annecy win | 21% | 4.57 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Annecy −0.75 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Guingamp −0.75 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.84 |
| Over | 47% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Yohan Demoncy · Annecy |
| 22' | ⚽ | Kalidou Sidibe · Guingamp |
| 36' | 🟨 | Vincent Pajot · Annecy |
| 43' | 🟨 | Alpha Sissoko · Guingamp |
| 45' | 🟨 | Ahmed Kashi · Annecy |
| 65' | ⚽ | Axel Drouhin · Annecy |
| 80' | ⚽ | Amine Hemia · Guingamp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 8 |
| 8 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Guingamp | Annecy |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade du Roudourou |
| coach days | 142.00 | 1238.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.24 | — |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.96 | 5.43 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | — |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | — |
| elo | 1494.68 | 1472.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 34.08 | 16.83 |
| eye test v1 | 0.43 | 0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.60 | 59.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.33 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | — |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.73 |
| league points | 12.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 87.00 | 67.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.60 | 39.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 2.40 | 1.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | — |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | — |
| skill v1 | 1.38 | -1.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| state index | 0.46 | 0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.49 | -1.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |