← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Sep 20, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Chapapria
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC win | 37% | 2.60 |
| Dunkerque win | 33% | 2.95 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque +0.25 | 56% | 1.72 |
| Pau FC +0.25 | 44% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.76 |
| Over | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ | Naatan Skyttä · Dunkerque |
| 33' | 🟨 | Gessime Yassine · Dunkerque |
| 39' | ⚽ | Antonin Bobichon · Pau FC |
| 42' | ⚽ | Yacine Bammou · Dunkerque |
| 44' | 🟨 | Pathé Mboup · Pau FC |
| 45' | 🟨 | Maxence Rivera · Dunkerque |
| 45' | 🟨 | Therence Koudou · Pau FC |
| 51' | 🟨 | Jordy Gaspar · Pau FC |
| 52' | ⚽ | Vincent Sasso · Dunkerque |
| 75' | ⚽ | Kandet Diawara · Pau FC |
| 80' | 🟨 | Jean Ruiz · Pau FC |
| 83' | 🟨 | Anto Sekongo · Dunkerque |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gaëtan Courtet · Dunkerque |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kouadio Ange Ahoussou · Pau FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 16 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 18 | Fouls | 18 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dunkerque | Pau FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.45 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| coach days | 385.00 |
| venue | Stade Marcel-Tribut |
| 1542.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.64 | 3.16 |
| elo | 1389.37 | 1468.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.48 | 23.05 |
| eye test v1 | -0.74 | 0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | 0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.00 | 49.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.82 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.66 |
| league points | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 42.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.43 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.16 | -0.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.00 |
| state index | -0.37 | 0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.53 | -0.35 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |