← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Mon, Sep 16, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: O. Thual
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 37% | 2.58 |
| Grenoble win | 32% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.16 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen +0 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Grenoble +0 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.74 |
| Over | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Alexandre Mendy · Caen |
| 12' | 🟨 | Lenny Joseph · Grenoble |
| 41' | 🟨 | Quentin Lecoeuche · Caen |
| 42' | ⚽ (pen) | Pape Meissa Ba · Grenoble |
| 45' | ⚽ | Pape Meissa Ba · Grenoble |
| 52' | 🟨 | Daylam Meddah · Caen |
| 59' | ⚽ | Gaëtan Paquiez · Grenoble |
| 70' | 🟨 | Yann M'Vila · Caen |
| 80' | 🟨 | Héliohdino Tavares · Caen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Grenoble | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade des Alpes |
| coach days | 77.00 | 320.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.02 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.91 | 3.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1409.46 | 1469.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.42 | -21.64 |
| eye test v1 | -0.17 | 0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.30 | 63.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.71 |
| league points | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 17.03 | 17.03 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 0.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.40 | 0.84 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| state index | -0.43 | -0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.52 | 0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |