← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Sep 13, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Petit
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 44% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Rodez win | 27% | 3.73 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp +0.25 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Rodez +0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.72 |
| Over | 44% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Aurelien Pelon · Rodez |
| 38' | ⚽ | Jacques Siwe · Guingamp |
| 50' | 🟨 | Stone Muzalimoja Mambo · Rodez |
| 61' | ⚽ | Tawfik Bentayeb · Rodez |
| 71' | ⚽ | Amine Hemia · Guingamp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 4 | Shots | 3 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 4 | Fouls | 4 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rodez | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| venue | Stade Paul Lignon |
| coach days | 652.00 | 135.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | — | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.25 | 3.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | — | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | — | 0.51 |
| elo | 1454.87 | 1483.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -49.13 | 9.55 |
| eye test v1 | -0.53 | 0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.00 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 67.00 | 58.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | — | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.64 |
| league points | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 85.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.20 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 2.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | — | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | — | 17.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.54 | 1.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| state index | -0.95 | 0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.70 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |