← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Sep 13, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: P. Legat
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Lorient win | 58% | 1.66 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.15 |
| Red Star win | 19% | 5.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Lorient −0.75 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Red Star −0.75 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.72 |
| Under | 44% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Panos Katseris · FC Lorient |
| 43' | 🟨 | Hacene Benali · Red Star |
| 47' | ⚽ | Merwan Ifnaoui · Red Star |
| 77' | ⚽ (pen) | Sambou Soumano · FC Lorient |
| 79' | 🟨 | Laurent Abergel · FC Lorient |
| 82' | 🟨 | Montassar Talbi · FC Lorient |
| 88' | 🟥 | Hianga'a M'Bock · Red Star |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 5 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 13 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Lorient | Red Star |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat |
| coach days | 104.00 | 74.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.29 | 2.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1603.51 | 1348.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.83 | 8.41 |
| eye test v1 | 1.26 | 0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.24 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.80 | 56.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.62 |
| league points | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.40 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.40 | 44.60 |
| rest days | 13.23 | 14.00 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.60 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 19.00 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.84 | -0.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 25.27 | — |
| state index | 0.61 | -0.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.40 | -0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |