← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Sep 13, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Taleb
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Laval win | 38% | 2.49 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.81 |
| Ajaccio win | 28% | 3.51 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Laval −0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 69% | 1.38 |
| Over | 31% | 3.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Moussa Soumano · Ajaccio |
| 41' | 🟨 | Titouan Thomas · Laval |
| 43' | 🟨 | Jesah Ayessa · Ajaccio |
| 43' | ⚽ | Sam Sanna · Laval |
| 45' | 🟨 | Thibault Vargas · Laval |
| 45' | 🟨 | Mickaël Barreto · Ajaccio |
| 59' | 🟨 | Malik Sellouki · Laval |
| 59' | 🟨 | Stephen Quemper · Ajaccio |
| 74' | 🟨 | Thomas Mangani · Ajaccio |
| 75' | 🟨 | Tim Jabol-Folcarelli · Ajaccio |
| 90' | 🟨 | Williams Kokolo · Laval |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 1 | Shots | 2 |
| 1 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 3 | Fouls | 5 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Laval | Ajaccio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.44 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stade Francis Le Basser |
| coach days | 1901.00 | 74.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | — | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.76 | 2.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | — | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | — | 0.53 |
| elo | 1403.14 | 1414.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.88 | 9.56 |
| eye test v1 | -0.18 | -0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.26 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.90 | 49.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.53 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | — | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | — |
| league points | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 83.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.60 | 58.80 |
| rest days | 13.23 | 14.00 |
| season ppg | 0.33 | 2.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | — | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | — | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.64 | 1.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| state index | -0.70 | -0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.89 | 0.93 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |