← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Aug 30, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Chapapria
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 52% | 1.84 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Red Star win | 19% | 5.14 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp −0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Red Star −0.5 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.60 |
| Over | 40% | 2.42 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Aliou Badji · Red Star |
| 23' | ⚽ | Amine Hemia · Guingamp |
| 26' | 🟨 | Loic Kouagba · Red Star |
| 41' | ⚽ (pen) | Bradley Danger · Red Star |
| 45' | ⚽ | Amine Hemia · Guingamp |
| 52' | ⚽ | Aliou Badji · Red Star |
| 60' | ⚽ | Damien Durand · Red Star |
| 78' | ⚽ | Brighton Labeau · Guingamp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 21 | Shots | 18 |
| 7 | On target | 7 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Guingamp | Red Star |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| venue | Stade du Roudourou |
| coach days |
| 121.00 |
| 60.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | — |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | — |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | — |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | — |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.11 | 2.85 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | — |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | — |
| elo | 1499.56 | 1330.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.92 | 2.05 |
| eye test v1 | 0.16 | -0.37 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.22 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.10 | 57.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | — |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.64 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.40 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 44.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 3.97 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | — |
| season ppg | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | — |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.60 | — |
| skill v1 | 0.74 | -0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| state index | 0.37 | -0.63 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.12 | -0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |