← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Aug 30, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Lesage
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grenoble win | 41% | 2.33 |
| Pau FC win | 31% | 3.26 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC −0.25 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Grenoble −0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.90 |
| Over | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 38' | 🟨 | Pathé Mboup · Pau FC |
| 46' | 🟨 | Mamadou Diarra · Grenoble |
| 55' | ⚽ | Pape Meissa Ba · Grenoble |
| 68' | 🟨 | Eddy Sylvestre · Grenoble |
| 68' | ⚽ | Antoine Mille · Pau FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gaëtan Paquiez · Grenoble |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jordy Gaspar · Pau FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 11 |
| 8 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Grenoble | Pau FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade des Alpes |
| coach days | 60.00 | 1521.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | — |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.94 | 2.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | — |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | — |
| elo | 1410.00 | 1451.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.73 | -13.61 |
| eye test v1 | 0.01 | -0.63 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.20 | 49.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | — |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | — |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.69 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 43.60 |
| rest days | 6.23 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | — |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | — |
| skill v1 | 0.24 | -0.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| state index | -0.31 | -0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.27 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |