← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Aug 23, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Landry
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Metz win | 38% | 2.53 |
| Rodez win | 32% | 3.02 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rodez +0.25 | 55% | 1.78 |
| Metz +0.25 | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.77 |
| Over | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | Cheick Tidiane Sabaly · Metz |
| 15' | 🟨 | Maxime Colin · Metz |
| 30' | ⚽ | Cheick Tidiane Sabaly · Metz |
| 37' | 🟨 | Giovanni Haag · Rodez |
| 44' | ⚽ (og) | Ahmad Toure Ngouyamsa · Metz |
| 45' | 🟨 | Dany Jean · Rodez |
| 45' | 🟨 | Dany Jean · Rodez |
| 45' | 🟥 | Dany Jean · Rodez |
| 59' | ⚽ | Wilitty Younoussa · Rodez |
| 74' | 🟨 | Gauthier Hein · Metz |
| 82' | 🟨 | Arthur Atta · Metz |
| 89' | 🟨 | Fali Candé · Metz |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 16 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rodez | Metz |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade Paul Lignon |
| coach days | 631.00 | 53.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | — | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.07 | 2.59 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | — | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | — | 0.42 |
| elo | 1481.17 | 1539.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.27 | -28.75 |
| eye test v1 | -0.25 | -0.48 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 69.40 | 65.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | — | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.71 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 37.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 3.97 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | — | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | — | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.33 | -1.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| squad age | — | 23.90 |
| state index | -0.17 | -0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.28 | -1.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |