← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Aug 23, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Lesage
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia win | 40% | 2.38 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Amiens win | 28% | 3.66 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Amiens −0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Bastia −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.50 |
| Over | 36% | 2.70 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 44' | 🟨 | Clement Rodrigues · Bastia |
| 44' | 🟨 | Osaze Urhoghide · Amiens |
| 51' | 🟨 | Louis Mafouta · Amiens |
| 53' | ⚽ | Christophe Vincent · Bastia |
| 62' | 🟨 | Frank Boya · Amiens |
| 71' | 🟨 | Juan Guevara · Bastia |
| 89' | 🟨 | Owen Gene · Amiens |
| 90' | 🟨 | Osaze Urhoghide · Amiens |
| 90' | 🟥 | Osaze Urhoghide · Amiens |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bastia | Amiens |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.47 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.77 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| venue | Stade Armand-Césari |
| coach days | 83.00 | 419.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.28 | 1.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1464.36 | 1466.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.05 | 41.06 |
| eye test v1 | -0.05 | 0.65 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | 0.46 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.20 | 59.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.80 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 45.40 |
| rest days | 3.97 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -9.20 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.53 | 0.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| state index | -0.43 | 0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.17 | -0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |