← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Sun, May 17, 01:30 PM UTC · ref: K. Oldhafer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld win | 58% | 1.62 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.00 |
| Hertha win | 18% | 5.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld −0.75 | 54% | 1.75 |
| Hertha −0.75 | 46% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.60 |
| Under | 41% | 2.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 27 | Shots | 9 |
| 12 | On target | 3 |
| 9 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 6 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bielefeld | Hertha |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 3.60 |
| coach days | 1051.00 | 470.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| venue | SchücoArena |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| 2.20 |
| -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.06 | 2.28 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1437.69 | 1531.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.39 | -34.50 |
| eye test v1 | -0.10 | -0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.32 | -0.18 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.67 |
| league points | 39.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 12.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 8.88 | 7.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 1.54 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| solidity v1 | -0.12 | 0.79 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.97 | 25.19 |
| state index | -0.46 | -0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.19 | -0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.24 | 1.16 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.46 | 1.44 |