← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Sat, May 9, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Prigan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg win | 38% | 2.45 |
| FC Schalke 04 win | 36% | 2.60 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg +0 | 53% | 1.80 |
| FC Schalke 04 +0 | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under | 39% | 2.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 16 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 8 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nurnberg | FC Schalke 04 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| coach days | 707.00 | 373.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.15 |
| venue | Max-Morlock-Stadion |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.79 | 2.39 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.66 |
| elo | 1481.01 | 1609.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.97 | 35.30 |
| eye test v1 | -0.21 | 0.90 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.49 | -0.17 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.66 |
| league points | 45.00 | 73.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 6.29 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.32 | 2.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 8.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.00 | 0.22 |
| solidity v1 | 0.72 | 1.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 7.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 25.38 | 27.13 |
| state index | -0.06 | 0.95 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.20 | -0.64 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.07 | 0.68 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.36 | 1.82 |