← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Fri, May 8, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Braun
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 67% | 1.40 |
| Draw | 17% | 5.50 |
| Karlsruhe win | 16% | 6.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe −1.5 | 53% | 1.78 |
| SC Paderborn 07 −1.5 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 70% | 1.36 |
| Under | 30% | 3.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 8 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Paderborn 07 | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| coach days | 1772.00 | 2288.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.11 |
| venue | Home Deluxe Arena |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 1.85 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1556.37 | 1472.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -36.35 | -11.86 |
| eye test v1 | 0.42 | -0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | -0.34 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.58 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.66 |
| league points | 58.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 5.21 | 5.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.71 | 1.26 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.20 | -0.10 |
| solidity v1 | -1.10 | -0.99 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 23.93 | 27.94 |
| state index | -0.58 | -0.60 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.76 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.48 | 1.63 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.46 | 1.15 |