← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Sun, May 3, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: F. Bickel
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 38% | 2.45 |
| Karlsruhe win | 38% | 2.45 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt +0 | 50% | 1.90 |
| Karlsruhe +0 | 50% | 1.90 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 67% | 1.40 |
| Under | 33% | 2.88 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 22 | Shots | 14 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| coach days | 2283.00 | 609.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| venue | BBBank Wildpark |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.73 | 3.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1462.35 | 1522.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.41 | -40.49 |
| eye test v1 | -0.70 | -0.46 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.22 | 0.01 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.64 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.71 |
| league points | 40.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 14.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 7.71 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.61 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.00 | -6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.19 | 0.19 |
| solidity v1 | -1.00 | -1.84 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 28.66 | 27.93 |
| state index | -0.69 | -0.92 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.47 | 0.54 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.69 | 2.16 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.05 | 1.16 |