← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Sat, May 2, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: P. Ittrich
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 win | 61% | 1.53 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.33 |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 17% | 5.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 −1 | 51% | 1.85 |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf −1 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under | 42% | 2.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 6 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 6 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Schalke 04 | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| coach days | 366.00 | 1.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| venue | Veltins Arena |
| -2.60 |
| 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.39 | 2.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1570.78 | 1402.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 50.46 | -39.42 |
| eye test v1 | 1.05 | -0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.52 | 0.01 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.61 |
| league points | 70.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 12.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 6.29 | 8.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.43 |
| season ppg | 2.12 | 1.06 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.20 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.80 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.32 | -0.22 |
| solidity v1 | 0.97 | -1.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.69 | — |
| state index | 0.94 | -0.95 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.74 | 0.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.84 | 1.75 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.01 | 1.02 |