← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Sat, May 2, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: F. Exner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel win | 38% | 2.45 |
| Braunschweig win | 35% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel +0 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Braunschweig +0 | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.90 |
| Under | 50% | 1.90 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Holstein Kiel | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.00 |
| coach days | 274.00 | 274.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.09 |
| venue | Holstein-Stadion |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | 3.24 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1516.58 | 1402.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 50.01 | 13.85 |
| eye test v1 | -0.66 | -0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | -0.25 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.47 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.60 |
| league points | 39.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.20 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.03 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.29 | -0.40 |
| solidity v1 | 0.51 | 0.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 24.90 | 25.06 |
| state index | 0.56 | -0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.54 | -0.57 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.12 | 1.48 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.11 |