← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Sun, Apr 26, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: M. Jollenbeck
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 37% | 2.55 |
| FC Schalke 04 win | 35% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 +0 | 53% | 1.80 |
| FC Schalke 04 +0 | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.73 |
| Under | 45% | 2.08 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 14 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 8 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Paderborn 07 | FC Schalke 04 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| coach days | 1760.00 | 360.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.14 |
| venue | Home Deluxe Arena |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.66 |
| elo | 1598.81 | 1593.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.92 | 40.15 |
| eye test v1 | 0.46 | 0.69 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.00 | -0.56 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 1.37 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.68 |
| league points | 58.00 | 67.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.60 | 45.60 |
| rest days | 7.71 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.87 | 2.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 8.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 16.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.12 | -0.21 |
| solidity v1 | -0.64 | 0.71 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 24.21 | 26.82 |
| state index | 0.55 | 0.85 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.63 | -1.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.38 | 1.03 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.62 | 1.73 |