← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Sat, Apr 18, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: F. Wagner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg win | 53% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.80 |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 22% | 4.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg −0.5 | 53% | 1.78 |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf −0.5 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.57 |
| Under | 40% | 2.35 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 6 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Magdeburg | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.60 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| coach days | 229.00 | 1537.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.05 |
| venue | Avnet-Arena |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.17 | 2.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1457.53 | 1435.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.94 | -41.13 |
| eye test v1 | 0.67 | -0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | -0.54 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.83 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.56 | 0.59 |
| league points | 30.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.00 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.20 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 7.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.43 |
| season ppg | 0.97 | 1.03 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.69 | 0.04 |
| solidity v1 | 0.15 | -1.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 28.10 | 25.92 |
| state index | 0.01 | -0.93 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.50 | 0.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.22 | 1.74 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.52 | 1.18 |