← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Sat, Apr 18, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: R. Braun
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld win | 49% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
| Nurnberg win | 25% | 3.75 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg −0.75 | 56% | 1.68 |
| Bielefeld −0.75 | 44% | 2.15 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.65 |
| Under | 43% | 2.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 9 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bielefeld | Nurnberg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.77 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| coach days | 1022.00 | 686.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| venue | SchücoArena |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| 0.00 |
| -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.23 | 2.73 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1439.11 | 1471.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.73 | -6.13 |
| eye test v1 | 0.75 | -0.34 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.33 | -0.14 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.58 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.69 |
| league points | 34.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 7.77 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.80 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| solidity v1 | -1.09 | -0.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.30 | 24.34 |
| state index | -0.45 | -0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.01 | -0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.55 | 1.67 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.83 | 1.45 |