← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Sat, Apr 11, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: L. Benen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hertha win | 54% | 1.75 |
| Kaiserslautern win | 24% | 3.90 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.33 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern −0.75 | 51% | 1.85 |
| Hertha −0.75 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 65% | 1.44 |
| Under | 35% | 2.70 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hertha | Kaiserslautern |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.46 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.81 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| coach days | 434.00 | 375.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.12 |
| venue | Olympiastadion |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 2.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1566.43 | 1498.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 40.59 | -3.65 |
| eye test v1 | 0.42 | 0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | 0.57 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.66 |
| league points | 50.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 6.69 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| solidity v1 | 0.65 | -0.70 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.93 | 26.34 |
| state index | 0.62 | -0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.06 | -0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.08 | 1.97 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.45 | 1.74 |