← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Fri, Apr 10, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Lechner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld win | 45% | 2.05 |
| Karlsruhe win | 29% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe +0.5 | 54% | 1.75 |
| Bielefeld +0.5 | 46% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under | 42% | 2.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 22 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 13 |
| 9 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.78 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.60 |
| coach days | 2260.00 | 1014.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.08 |
| venue | BBBank Wildpark |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 3.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1484.21 | 1452.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.09 | -7.71 |
| eye test v1 | -0.00 | 0.84 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.43 | 0.17 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.67 |
| league points | 37.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 72.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 5.21 | 6.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.28 | 1.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.60 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 17.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.05 | -0.26 |
| solidity v1 | -1.44 | -0.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 27.24 | 27.20 |
| state index | -0.13 | -0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.12 | -1.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.41 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.39 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.12 | 1.58 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.50 | 1.67 |