← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Sun, Apr 5, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: T. Bauer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg win | 39% | 2.40 |
| Braunschweig win | 34% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg +0 | 53% | 1.78 |
| Braunschweig +0 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.73 |
| Under | 45% | 2.08 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 23 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Braunschweig | Nurnberg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| coach days | 247.00 | 673.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.16 |
| venue | Eintracht-Stadion |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.27 | 2.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1384.85 | 1493.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.04 | 12.64 |
| eye test v1 | -0.35 | -0.34 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | -0.27 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.62 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.69 |
| league points | 29.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.80 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 15.75 | 14.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.34 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.74 | -0.14 |
| solidity v1 | 0.39 | -0.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 24.51 | 24.35 |
| state index | -0.42 | 0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.45 | -0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.72 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.01 | 1.36 |