← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Sat, Apr 4, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: T. Gerach
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld win | 40% | 2.38 |
| Darmstadt win | 35% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.70 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld +0 | 53% | 1.78 |
| Darmstadt +0 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.65 |
| Under | 43% | 2.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 25 | Shots | 7 |
| 8 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bielefeld | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| coach days | 1008.00 | 580.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| venue | SchücoArena |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.33 | 3.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1440.30 | 1562.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.55 | -9.59 |
| eye test v1 | 0.36 | 0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.00 | -0.41 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.75 |
| league points | 31.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.80 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 13.96 | 13.65 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 1.82 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.36 | 0.53 |
| solidity v1 | -1.01 | -0.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.69 | 27.42 |
| state index | -0.82 | -0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.11 | 0.49 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.87 | 1.50 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.43 | 1.43 |