← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Sun, Mar 22, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: P. Alt
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 54% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.80 |
| Holstein Kiel win | 22% | 4.33 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum −0.5 | 53% | 1.78 |
| Holstein Kiel −0.5 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under | 42% | 2.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 20 | Shots | 10 |
| 10 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 22 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bochum | Holstein Kiel |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.81 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| coach days | 445.00 | 233.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| venue | Vonovia Ruhrstadion |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.08 | 2.10 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1558.47 | 1466.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.82 | -32.69 |
| eye test v1 | 0.44 | -0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.36 | 0.17 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.62 |
| league points | 37.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 7.71 | 8.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.32 | 0.93 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.42 | 0.34 |
| solidity v1 | 0.22 | -1.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.09 | 25.45 |
| state index | 0.12 | -1.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.09 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.27 | 1.94 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.64 | 1.57 |