← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Sat, Mar 14, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: P. Ittrich
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 41% | 2.30 |
| Bielefeld win | 33% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld +0.25 | 52% | 1.83 |
| SC Paderborn 07 +0.25 | 48% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.70 |
| Under | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 26 | Shots | 7 |
| 9 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bielefeld | SC Paderborn 07 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| coach days | 987.00 | 1717.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| venue | SchücoArena |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1453.84 | 1578.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.77 | 24.38 |
| eye test v1 | 0.27 | 0.71 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | -0.23 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.60 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.66 |
| league points | 30.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.60 | 79.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 56.60 |
| rest days | 7.77 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 1.81 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.60 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.55 | 0.66 |
| solidity v1 | 0.02 | 0.57 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 6.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 27.37 | 24.32 |
| state index | -0.23 | 0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.19 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.51 | 0.99 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.28 | 1.73 |