← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Sat, Feb 21, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Prigan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe win | 39% | 2.40 |
| Holstein Kiel win | 32% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe +0 | 55% | 1.70 |
| Holstein Kiel +0 | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.83 |
| Under | 48% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 15 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 23 | Fouls | 12 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | Holstein Kiel |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| coach days | 2212.00 | 204.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.17 |
| venue | BBBank Wildpark |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.87 | 2.44 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1469.43 | 1499.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.06 | -24.45 |
| eye test v1 | -0.69 | -0.70 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.26 | 0.35 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.73 |
| league points | 27.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 7.77 | 5.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.04 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | -6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.01 | -0.28 |
| solidity v1 | -0.98 | -1.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.74 | 24.43 |
| state index | -0.72 | -0.70 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.04 | 0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.63 | 2.12 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.21 | 0.98 |