← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Sun, Feb 15, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Lechner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 win | 39% | 2.40 |
| Holstein Kiel win | 31% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel +0.25 | 54% | 1.75 |
| FC Schalke 04 +0.25 | 46% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.70 |
| Over | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 10 | Shots | 21 |
| 4 | On target | 8 |
| 9 | Corners | 6 |
| 19 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Holstein Kiel | FC Schalke 04 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.21 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.20 |
| coach days | 198.00 | 290.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.07 |
| venue | Holstein-Stadion |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.12 | 2.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1464.17 | 1497.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.11 | -33.50 |
| eye test v1 | -0.58 | -0.69 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.70 |
| league points | 24.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 72.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 1.95 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.60 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.08 | -0.27 |
| solidity v1 | -1.23 | 0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| squad age | — | 26.69 |
| state index | -0.34 | -0.62 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.39 | 0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.06 | 0.94 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.18 | 1.29 |