← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Sun, Feb 15, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Bauer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 38% | 2.50 |
| Bochum win | 35% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 +0 | 52% | 1.83 |
| Bochum +0 | 48% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 22 | Shots | 7 |
| 9 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bochum | SC Paderborn 07 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.50 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| coach days | 410.00 | 1690.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| venue | Vonovia Ruhrstadion |
| -2.20 |
| 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.04 | 3.39 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.68 |
| elo | 1519.71 | 1526.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.41 | -17.24 |
| eye test v1 | 0.37 | 1.37 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | 0.15 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.69 |
| league points | 31.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 82.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 57.00 |
| rest days | 8.79 | 8.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 1.77 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 10.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 17.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.13 | 1.39 |
| solidity v1 | -0.28 | 0.99 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 5.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.40 |
| state index | 0.10 | -0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.36 | 0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.75 | 0.71 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.41 | 2.57 |