← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Fri, Feb 13, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Stieler
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg win | 55% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.10 |
| Karlsruhe win | 22% | 4.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe −0.75 | 50% | 1.90 |
| Nurnberg −0.75 | 50% | 1.90 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.60 |
| Under | 41% | 2.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 12 |
| 8 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nurnberg | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| coach days | 622.00 | 2204.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| venue | Max-Morlock-Stadion |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| 3.00 |
| -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 2.81 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1428.21 | 1449.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.41 | 6.02 |
| eye test v1 | 0.84 | -0.37 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | 0.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.67 |
| league points | 29.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 6.23 | 5.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.19 | 0.10 |
| solidity v1 | -0.65 | -0.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.20 |
| state index | -0.27 | -0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.73 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.35 | 1.60 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.67 | 1.22 |